August 17th, 2009

Read HSH’s Latest Two-Month Forecast for Mortgage Rates



HSH’s latest two-month forecast for mortgage rates is in. While rates trended higher than we thought they would during the last forecast period, “Our expected range of movement was pretty good, but rather than moving to the lower end of the scale, we moved to the upper side instead.”

Here’s just a taste of our latest forecast:

The closing of summer and beginning of fall usually sees a change for rates, from one of a dull pattern to one with more snap to it. For the most part, that has often meant a modest overall decline in mortgage rates, as perhaps the waning optimism of summer has become the colder reality of autumn. Even if firmer of late, rates remain well below last year’s level at the start of this forecast period.

Economic activity should continue to nudge higher over the next nine weeks. We expect that as moderately better numbers are revealed, discussions of when the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates will begin to surface. They won’t feel compelled to do so anytime soon, probably not until very late this year or early next at the very earliest. Even when they do, short-term rates will still remain well below normal for a long while.

To continue reading our two-month forecast for mortgage rates, click here.

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About the HSH Blog's daily blog focuses on the latest developments in the mortgage and housing markets. Our mission is to relate how changes in mortgage rates and housing policy, as well as the latest financial news, impacts consumers, homebuyers and industry insiders alike. Our 30-plus years of experience in the mortgage industry gives us an edge as we break down the latest changes in an ever-changing market.

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Tim Manni

Tim Manni is the Managing Editor of and the author of their daily blog, which concentrates on the latest developments in the mortgage and housing markets.

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